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Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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in virginia the nbc maris poll has romney up by one. in the first two big swingers, first ohio, and the president is up by 3 and in florida they show romney ahead by 1. so to help us sort it out we have chris mooney. chris, thanks for joining us. >> thanks for having me. >> you've been on the ground in specifically ohio and florida. the big news out of ohio is they have the boss and big dog, bill clinton and bruce springsteen, stumping for the president. do they have aan impact in swing sets? >> they get attention, and they bring people out. that's not to say mitt romney and obama can't bring people. in the month of october they're pulling more than 10,000 people into rallies. the key take away here is the era of the national campaign is over. you have to think of it as a big pinball machine rigged with magnets to key states. these candidates don't focus on other states anymore. we look at a handful to spend a lot of time. >> that really new in the modern era? has that changed over time? >> it has. there was a great piece in national jo
in virginia the nbc maris poll has romney up by one. in the first two big swingers, first ohio, and the president is up by 3 and in florida they show romney ahead by 1. so to help us sort it out we have chris mooney. chris, thanks for joining us. >> thanks for having me. >> you've been on the ground in specifically ohio and florida. the big news out of ohio is they have the boss and big dog, bill clinton and bruce springsteen, stumping for the president. do they have aan impact in...
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Oct 10, 2012
10/12
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today, romney had a one-point lead in the real clear politics poll and pundits throwing suggestions in the ring of what president obama needs to do next week at the debate. here's a view of the past and the future. >> i had a different reaction to that first debate than a lot of people did. i mean, i saw -- i thought, wow. here's old moderate mitt. where you been, boy? i missed you all these last two years. now, the problem with this deal is the deal was made by severe conservative mitt. that was how he described himself for two whole years. until three or four days before the debate they got together and said, hey man, this ship is sinking faster than the "titanic." just show up with a sunny face and say, i didn't say all that stuff i said the last two years. i don't have that tax plan i had for two years. you going to believe me or your lying eyes here? come on. what are you doing? and if i eve been the president, i might have said, i hate to get in the way of this. i miss you. >> wow. >> 66 years old, ladies and gentlemen. open heart surgery just a couple of years ago. >> he can sti
today, romney had a one-point lead in the real clear politics poll and pundits throwing suggestions in the ring of what president obama needs to do next week at the debate. here's a view of the past and the future. >> i had a different reaction to that first debate than a lot of people did. i mean, i saw -- i thought, wow. here's old moderate mitt. where you been, boy? i missed you all these last two years. now, the problem with this deal is the deal was made by severe conservative mitt....
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Oct 8, 2012
10/12
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the initial wave of state polls showed romney doing pretty well in the battleground states. in the rasmussen polls over the last two days, obama is doing better. that's consistent with the trend i talked about earlier. the question is whether obama gets an outsized bounce in states like ohio, nevada and iowa where he was doing better than nationally. if you look at all of the national polls conducted since the first debate, what you see is about a three point gain for romney. if that holds and if that uniformly filtering down to the battleground states, romney would still trail in iowa, ohio and alabama and obama would have a slight advantage ♪ electoral college. >> continuing our theme of what really matters, let's talk about the polls. obviously, polls don't vote. but do they sway the electorate? do they see one person as leading or gaining and some people decide to change their vote? is there some science on do polls actually shape the election itself? >> i don't think there's very much evidence that polls shift the election. if they did, i think we would see, you know,
the initial wave of state polls showed romney doing pretty well in the battleground states. in the rasmussen polls over the last two days, obama is doing better. that's consistent with the trend i talked about earlier. the question is whether obama gets an outsized bounce in states like ohio, nevada and iowa where he was doing better than nationally. if you look at all of the national polls conducted since the first debate, what you see is about a three point gain for romney. if that holds and...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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his poll numbers sink to new lows. >> the polls are not favoring mitt romney. >> there's no time off. it's around the clock kind of work. >> i don't pay a lot of attention to the day-to-day polls. >> now the british now polish people. >> we trust our internal polls. >> i'll go up or down. >> one goes one way, one dog goes the other way. >> yes, mitt's dream is going another way, too. >> that's quite a guy, isn't it, paul ryan! listen, romney/ryan, romney/ryan. >> oh, sweet jesus. >> sweet jesus, indeed. >> romney/ryan, there we go, that's great. >> stop it. this is hard. you want to try it? did i -- was i a little strong? >> romney/ryan. >> not sure precisely what i said but i stand by what i said, whatever it was. ♪ cleveland rocks jumping jean james dean ♪ ♪ cleveland rocks >> we begin with the president and mitt romney in a fever-pitch to gain the american heartland with candidates holding dueling events in ohio this afternoon, speaking at exactly the same time, to somewhat different kroundz. the buckeye battle going down even as devastating new polls show serious troubles fo
his poll numbers sink to new lows. >> the polls are not favoring mitt romney. >> there's no time off. it's around the clock kind of work. >> i don't pay a lot of attention to the day-to-day polls. >> now the british now polish people. >> we trust our internal polls. >> i'll go up or down. >> one goes one way, one dog goes the other way. >> yes, mitt's dream is going another way, too. >> that's quite a guy, isn't it, paul ryan! listen,...
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Oct 25, 2012
10/12
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in polls, romney's momentum seems to have stopped. he gained ground a week or two after denver, but it seems he's no longer doing so. it seems to me that there's sort of a karl rovian sort of confidence p eddling game. are they saying we have momentum to get the media to bite on that to tell the voters they have momentum and people want to roll with the winner? the truth is we have a serious map problem? >> any campaign wants to claim momentum when they can. it's important to a campaign where they feel they have a moment in time. whether or not it continues to be true or it's the feeling that people may have had a week ago, i think that's certainly the message you put out. regardless of what the poll numbers look like, if you were behind before, you want to gain steam. president obama is saying we've had a lead and we're maintaining it. that's his belief. obviously it has shrunk some. the belief on the obama side that if they do what they're supposed to do on election day and execute that organizational turnout device, then they will
in polls, romney's momentum seems to have stopped. he gained ground a week or two after denver, but it seems he's no longer doing so. it seems to me that there's sort of a karl rovian sort of confidence p eddling game. are they saying we have momentum to get the media to bite on that to tell the voters they have momentum and people want to roll with the winner? the truth is we have a serious map problem? >> any campaign wants to claim momentum when they can. it's important to a campaign...
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Oct 24, 2012
10/12
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polling and national horse race polling but the number cruncher claims the south doesn't explain romney's strength in the national polls and claims it's because president obama is struggling in, wait for it, the liberal northeast. it's time for the nate spot with nate cohen. nate, i'll start by saying you're right. i'm wrong. let's ask you why. i asked another pollster this morning, patrick murray running the monmouth poll to explain this. he breaks the country to blue states, red states, competitive states. look at the difference of obama's standing compared to 2008. it is even in red states. they didn't like him then and now. but the big dropoff, look at that, blue states, places like new york, california, massachusetts, new jersey. he's going to win the states but he's going to win them by reduced margins. it sounds credible. why? why is he losing so much ground in places where he's generally popular? >> i think there's a pretty simple formula to use to explain a lot of movement at the state level. in the places where obama won a lot of bush voters, obama has fallen back a lot and stat
polling and national horse race polling but the number cruncher claims the south doesn't explain romney's strength in the national polls and claims it's because president obama is struggling in, wait for it, the liberal northeast. it's time for the nate spot with nate cohen. nate, i'll start by saying you're right. i'm wrong. let's ask you why. i asked another pollster this morning, patrick murray running the monmouth poll to explain this. he breaks the country to blue states, red states,...
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Oct 16, 2012
10/12
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now that gallup has romney ahead, the obama campaign is complaining about polls. how are voters supposed to make heads or tails of these numbers? >> well, the races remain shockingly static. the numbers are so stubborn. we've been polling every single week, and even before the debate it was basically what it is now. the top line number nationally not looking at the swing states, obama is still ahead 49/48. that's a statistical tie the same as it was the week before. we're stunned at how polarized the electorate is. most have made up their minds. for example, 75% of americans think romney won the first debate, only 16% think obama did. a vast majority say it no impact on their vote whatsoever. people watch these debates as sporting events rooting for their side and not necessarily using them to make up their minds. >> technical question here, but it's something i'm struggling to figure out. maybe you can help me. we have seen the proliferation of a new type of poll in this election. we flashed it on the screen before the segment. the aggregate battleground poll. we
now that gallup has romney ahead, the obama campaign is complaining about polls. how are voters supposed to make heads or tails of these numbers? >> well, the races remain shockingly static. the numbers are so stubborn. we've been polling every single week, and even before the debate it was basically what it is now. the top line number nationally not looking at the swing states, obama is still ahead 49/48. that's a statistical tie the same as it was the week before. we're stunned at how...
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Aug 22, 2012
08/12
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romney by four full points heading into the conventions suggesting that romney maybe didn't get much of a bounce from his vp selection of ryan. other polls show slightly different results. you're looking at an obama lead of one or two points. that's what it's been for a few months now. does any of this come as a surprise when you consider the state of the economy and unemployment well above 8%? you think obama might be doing worse than this. why is he outperforming himself? in the guest spot, the number cruncher who set out to answer that question. john sides from george washington university and the co-author of the ebook spb the gam double." he's the author of a great blauth monkey cage. check it out if you want to learn anything about the presidential race. thanks for joining us. i want to start by having you explain your research because i read the first chapter of your book and you really get into this. i'd love for you to explain it to people. you looked at presidents going back six decades, measures approval rating against the economy. tell us what you found out about obama by
romney by four full points heading into the conventions suggesting that romney maybe didn't get much of a bounce from his vp selection of ryan. other polls show slightly different results. you're looking at an obama lead of one or two points. that's what it's been for a few months now. does any of this come as a surprise when you consider the state of the economy and unemployment well above 8%? you think obama might be doing worse than this. why is he outperforming himself? in the guest spot,...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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there isn't a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that showing romney in the lead. you know, it's possible that the polls could be wrong, but that time of systemic failure is l e likely. >> you and kornacki and others have said there will be a gravitational pull, that one will follow the other. you predicted the state polls would follow the national polls, at least that's what kornacki is saying, but the opposite has happened. why do you think that that gravitational pull has happened rather than going the other direction? >> it's hard to say. part of the explanation might be with the hurricane actually. there were a lot of latent democratic voters that supported obama back in september, mainly in blue states, who moved to undecided after the first presidential debate that have moved back in obama's direction after the third. now, i don't know if that's what they considered romney strongly after the debate, watched all three and made up their minds and i'm going back to obama or the hurricane changed their mind again. but it's clear where they're all at. >> nate, i
there isn't a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that showing romney in the lead. you know, it's possible that the polls could be wrong, but that time of systemic failure is l e likely. >> you and kornacki and others have said there will be a gravitational pull, that one will follow the other. you predicted the state polls would follow the national polls, at least that's what kornacki is saying, but the opposite has happened. why do you think that that gravitational pull...
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Oct 17, 2012
10/12
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the ins the a polls had him losing to romney 40 points. last night, ahead six, seven points depending on the poll you look at. does this move the needle at all? >> i think it could but not the predebate average so after the first presidential debate, romney did great and got back the people that usually vote for republicans that supported him after the rnc. but moved away from him after the dnc and after the 47% remarks. i think romney's going to keep those folks. the people more interesting are the people that supported obama in september but have moved undecided. and whether they cam back depends on why they moved against him. was it because they were disappointed with the performance and expecting better from obama and now i'm not sure? if so, maybe obama will rebound. if it's because they thought romney was this terrible, evil, incapable plutocrat then maybe the better debate performance changed their minds. >> let me ask you about that. can you give us a sense that particular group, that group that can come back to obama, how's big's
the ins the a polls had him losing to romney 40 points. last night, ahead six, seven points depending on the poll you look at. does this move the needle at all? >> i think it could but not the predebate average so after the first presidential debate, romney did great and got back the people that usually vote for republicans that supported him after the rnc. but moved away from him after the dnc and after the 47% remarks. i think romney's going to keep those folks. the people more...
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Oct 4, 2012
10/12
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mitt romney will be in the toss-up state of virginia in evening where the polls have tightened in recent days. he's looking to capitalize on his strong debate performance last night. we're joined by nbc's luke russert in washington, d.c., and from the heartland, kathy obrad vish, she's a columnist columnist for "the des moines register." you have an interesting perspective on obama because he spent so much time in iowa so early in his national political career in 2007 and 2008. lots of debates out there. we have a debate last night. why is this man so bad at debates? >> well, you know, iowans are familiar both with barack obama and with mitt romney, and i have to say that i think people expected better of the president last night. i was speaking to a group this morning of about 90 people. i asked them to raise their hand if they thought the president had won the debate. not a single person raised his or her hand. so obviously it was that bad. you know, i think the real question is how much it matters at this point in iowa. >> luke, how are you, bro? >> how are you, sir? >> i want to read
mitt romney will be in the toss-up state of virginia in evening where the polls have tightened in recent days. he's looking to capitalize on his strong debate performance last night. we're joined by nbc's luke russert in washington, d.c., and from the heartland, kathy obrad vish, she's a columnist columnist for "the des moines register." you have an interesting perspective on obama because he spent so much time in iowa so early in his national political career in 2007 and 2008. lots...
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Sep 10, 2012
09/12
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it's a result of tracking polling numbers and focus groups and not just the romney campaigns either but a wide swath of conservative groups who all have this polling data this is available and these are very savvy folks who have been walking this universe of this data and watching it pointed in a direction that is not favorable for mitt romney. they are still going for these swing voters, but at a certain point i think this probably will become a game of mobilizing bases. >> the chatter of late has been that mitt romney has all the money and barack obama has the ground game. if steve's right, i mean, this bump is isolated around the convention perhaps. if steve is right that obama has been in the lead and it's clear, then, that ground game might be doing its job, how's does he convince voters to keep giving him money if maybe money isn't what is needed to win the election? >> well, as someone suggested earlier, there's a lot of scare tactics involved in fund-raising. you have to be able to say the other side is just cleaning our clock, and we need to compete with them. that's been the r
it's a result of tracking polling numbers and focus groups and not just the romney campaigns either but a wide swath of conservative groups who all have this polling data this is available and these are very savvy folks who have been walking this universe of this data and watching it pointed in a direction that is not favorable for mitt romney. they are still going for these swing voters, but at a certain point i think this probably will become a game of mobilizing bases. >> the chatter...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones. assumptions about turn out are more important than ever. but, yeah, you're right i think the polls have to be wrong at this state level. >> polls ask who are you going to vote for but there's data around polls who do you think will win and that's extraordinarily predictive. why is that question so predictive when we make people into mini anthropologists. >> it's what people are hearing. people are hearing stuff about romney. the average person, you know, has an idea that the president is still pretty popular. that makes them think that, you know, most voters or swing voters will tilt a little more i
there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones....
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Sep 4, 2012
09/12
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romney forces haven't but any money in pennsylvania. do you think with all of the money they have they're not going to flood pennsylvania in the last six weeks? you bet they are. so we've got to be ready. everybody here is determined. no sleep for the next eight, nine weeks. we know what we've got to do. >> there is an interesting editorial. i want to read a little bit of it. arguing that joe biden should play a more prominent role here at the dnc. francis said with democrats on a role, blacks, his tan iks and women, biden is the ultimate ambassador to the land of white guys. matching the republican team in sheer whiteness while surpassing them in guyness. so the interesting thing here to me, is republicans at their convention tried to highlight the latinos and women in n their party to go after those voting blocks they've had trouble gaining favor with. the democrats also seem ton featuring a lot of women and latinos. should they be focused more on working class white guys, like joe biden? >> kryatal, i think thursday night you will he
romney forces haven't but any money in pennsylvania. do you think with all of the money they have they're not going to flood pennsylvania in the last six weeks? you bet they are. so we've got to be ready. everybody here is determined. no sleep for the next eight, nine weeks. we know what we've got to do. >> there is an interesting editorial. i want to read a little bit of it. arguing that joe biden should play a more prominent role here at the dnc. francis said with democrats on a role,...
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Oct 1, 2012
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let's see what happens in the polls. i just have a hard time seeing mitt romney really being able to deliver the goods that he hasn't been able to deliver for six years now running for president. >> when you talk to people, you know who are strategists and inside the campaigns, is it really possible for people to block out the noise and not pay attention to the media and not be aware like you're losing by three, four, five points and things are getting dire, doesn't that sort of impact the campaign? we're losing. it's not going our way. >> it does. i think ordinarily. but i have not seen a campaign like this one which has an extraordinary ability to block out what the media is saying. we've talked before about the romney campaign being very closed to media. being very disciplined. doing things their way. we all sometimes question it. and some of us more loudly than others. and they seem to stay on their own trajectory. >> didn't the libya sort of let's call it a gaffe, maybe agree on that, isn't that a response to like t
let's see what happens in the polls. i just have a hard time seeing mitt romney really being able to deliver the goods that he hasn't been able to deliver for six years now running for president. >> when you talk to people, you know who are strategists and inside the campaigns, is it really possible for people to block out the noise and not pay attention to the media and not be aware like you're losing by three, four, five points and things are getting dire, doesn't that sort of impact...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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poll showing that president obama is expected to win the debate by a51% and mitt romney by 29%. it seems like president obama is more highly anticipated as the winner of the debate. do these sort of expectations setting games actually work for voters? >> i don't think they matter too much for the voters. it's a lot of fun for us to talk about. you know, as the comedy that you were just playing before suggested, if either one of these guys gets a complete sentence out, it should be a surprise to all of us. look, i think that it -- it matters a little bit on the margins, working the reporters who then report to the public. by and large i think the public is pretty good at making its own judgments. i don't think people walk in going, well, my expectations is about a 4, so if he gets a 6, i'll vote for him. if he gets a 5, no way. i don't think it works that way for most voters. >> i saw an interesting tweet come across the twitter this morning from carole simpson. she said debates are about style and not substance, despite what campaigns say. does he look and sound good is he perso
poll showing that president obama is expected to win the debate by a51% and mitt romney by 29%. it seems like president obama is more highly anticipated as the winner of the debate. do these sort of expectations setting games actually work for voters? >> i don't think they matter too much for the voters. it's a lot of fun for us to talk about. you know, as the comedy that you were just playing before suggested, if either one of these guys gets a complete sentence out, it should be a...
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Sep 3, 2012
09/12
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i think it comes from what you just mentioned, toure, the polling right now coming off the republican convention last week suggests a minimal at best bounce for mitt romney so i think there's a sense from democrats things didn't go the way republicans hoped they would and therefore there's an opportunity for obama to have a strong convention and build a more substantial lead in the polls. i would throw in a cautionary note, the alternate interpretation is that this is really the modern reality of polarization in politics, there are fewer undecided voters, public opinion's much less fluid, so the era of big convention bounces might be passing. we'll see this week how true that is. couple other things to set the stage tonight and the rest of the week, there are two elements of suspense in charlotte, one involves bill clinton, he'll be speaking wednesday night. this is an unusually anticipated speech by the non-nominee, partly because of clinton's stature as a former president, but also he emerged as a central player in the republican narrative, frankly. they have made him sort of in the
i think it comes from what you just mentioned, toure, the polling right now coming off the republican convention last week suggests a minimal at best bounce for mitt romney so i think there's a sense from democrats things didn't go the way republicans hoped they would and therefore there's an opportunity for obama to have a strong convention and build a more substantial lead in the polls. i would throw in a cautionary note, the alternate interpretation is that this is really the modern reality...
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Nov 6, 2012
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mitt romney was at the polls this morning in massachusetts in an 11th hour decision he added two stops today. they're not official rallies but are billed as him thanking supporters. read into what you'd like. he's heading to pittsburgh right now and was in ohio earlier at the same time joe biden was there. you can see air force 2 sneak in behind the parked romney jet before romney met with reporters. peter alexander is live at romney headquarters if boston. peter, what's the vibe there? >> reporter: s.e., we can show you live pictures of what's happening right now. mitt romney is touching down in pittsburgh, pennsylvania. you noted the earlier stop in ohio. it was the romney campaign plan for him to go to ohio. governor romney said as long as they're out there, why don't we find another place to stop as well? that's where they came up with pennsylvania. this is significant because one of those states, ohio with 18 electoral votes, is a place he showered with attention. pennsylvania is one that he has largely ignored. here campaign advisers continue to be exceedingly confident he'll do
mitt romney was at the polls this morning in massachusetts in an 11th hour decision he added two stops today. they're not official rallies but are billed as him thanking supporters. read into what you'd like. he's heading to pittsburgh right now and was in ohio earlier at the same time joe biden was there. you can see air force 2 sneak in behind the parked romney jet before romney met with reporters. peter alexander is live at romney headquarters if boston. peter, what's the vibe there?...
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Jul 19, 2012
07/12
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i saw a poll that said 60% of registered voters don't care about romney's bain experience and 73% don't care about his wealth. so is that saying to you, perhaps the bain attacks aren't working and also that romney's thesis that i come from bain, ergo i know the economy, that's also not working. >> here's the thing. we could end the election in november and find 99% of the country didn't care, 9 % of the voters didn't care about bain and had nothing to do with how they voted and it still might work. the difference between the bain strategy working and not working is the difference between romney getting 49.1% of the vote and 50.1% of the vote. this really is, jim talks about this, is about a narrow universe, a six-month strategy on part of the obama campaign to plant this in people's minds, to use this has a bay sisisbasis, that might be inclined to vote for romney because of the state of economy and give them pause when they get to the voting booth. >> bet based on what the obama campaign has been running and continued insistence on the attacks they think it's going to work. politico's
i saw a poll that said 60% of registered voters don't care about romney's bain experience and 73% don't care about his wealth. so is that saying to you, perhaps the bain attacks aren't working and also that romney's thesis that i come from bain, ergo i know the economy, that's also not working. >> here's the thing. we could end the election in november and find 99% of the country didn't care, 9 % of the voters didn't care about bain and had nothing to do with how they voted and it still...
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Oct 9, 2012
10/12
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we did this a couple of weeks ago when the polls were the other way, and then it was time for romney to panic. it's probably not time for anybody to panic. this race is now what it was weeks ago, months ago, and that's a fairly close race it will on election day. it's decided by two, three percentage points. we've seen the bounces and swings. this one is going in romney's direction. it appears if you look at the battleground states, it still favors obama. nothing has fundamentally changed. if things keep move inning this direction and this just isn't a reaction to one very bad night for obama last week, well, then, we talk about something else. it's not clear that's what happened yet. >> don't tell that to andrew sullivan, because he is having a breakdown in "the daily beast" today. he laments what he calls devastating new positill numberd he calls the president too air grant to take a core campaign responsibility too seriously, too arrogant to give his supporters kwwhat they deserve. what do you make of that? >> i think andrew is always interesting and provocative. he makes a good p
we did this a couple of weeks ago when the polls were the other way, and then it was time for romney to panic. it's probably not time for anybody to panic. this race is now what it was weeks ago, months ago, and that's a fairly close race it will on election day. it's decided by two, three percentage points. we've seen the bounces and swings. this one is going in romney's direction. it appears if you look at the battleground states, it still favors obama. nothing has fundamentally changed. if...
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Nov 1, 2012
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you know, the polling has, i think, generally been slightly pro-romney. so, you know, i don't get the sense that they really think that florida is the best place to be spending their time. they might be writing it off. you know, i think it's really interesting to see wisconsin be such a frequent destination. i believe that romney had not gone to wisconsin for a couple, few months until he went last week or a few days ago. he's going back again. the emphasis on wisconsin right now is interesting. and i think it speaks to the idea that although romney is definitely not giving up on ohio by any means, you know, you do get a sense that they are trying to work these contingency plans. how can we do this without ohio? you know, can we get wisconsin and iowa, you know, you guys have been talking about the ad spending they're doing in pennsylvania and michigan, can they pick off these other states? honestly, i think at the end of the day, it comes down to ohio. and obama has a kiconsistent le in the polling there. by the way, something i'd love to know is what is
you know, the polling has, i think, generally been slightly pro-romney. so, you know, i don't get the sense that they really think that florida is the best place to be spending their time. they might be writing it off. you know, i think it's really interesting to see wisconsin be such a frequent destination. i believe that romney had not gone to wisconsin for a couple, few months until he went last week or a few days ago. he's going back again. the emphasis on wisconsin right now is...
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Sep 21, 2012
09/12
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new poll numbers including those within nbc news show that mitt romney is increasingly trailing his opponent, barack obama. in the state of iowa that gap has swelled to 8 percentage points that romney is trailing barack obama. his own wife ann romney was there just yesterday. the 47% number, that secret videotape where that number was basically used now by the president and everybody else who has heard it to attack him as being out of touch and effectively writing off 47% of americans as victims and government dependents. toure. >> peter, no gambling tonight, okay. >> reporter: yeah, right. >> let's put this in the spin cycle. when romney releases tax returns and professor kornacki is digging through stuff and he sees he did something that disqualifies him for being president by his own standard. tell him. >> we have a trademark made for only mitt romney moments. we've had a few in this campaign, and this is one of them. earlier in year when he came under pressure to put out tax returns, he put out one for 2010 and one for 2011. the estimate said i paid an ektive tax rate. over the summer bh
new poll numbers including those within nbc news show that mitt romney is increasingly trailing his opponent, barack obama. in the state of iowa that gap has swelled to 8 percentage points that romney is trailing barack obama. his own wife ann romney was there just yesterday. the 47% number, that secret videotape where that number was basically used now by the president and everybody else who has heard it to attack him as being out of touch and effectively writing off 47% of americans as...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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one day we blame romney, and we've seen a lot of blame for romney throughout the campaign. one day blaming the polling and liberal media. i think that's a stretch. when do we look at the ideology and the difficult sell that is for the american people. when you have a party where the conventional wisdom is that this is a party that is here for the rich to serve the rich and the corporations, that's a very difficult sell. i don't know that chris christie, regular guy, could sell that better. i don't know if rick santorum can sell that better than what we've seen already. >> well, obviously, there's 39, 38 days to go. where are we sf? 39. >> 30 states already votes, though. that's the other interesting thing in this. we have more than half the country is on you there casting ballots. we haven't had a debate yet. the 2013 presidential debate commission. let's schedule one before a ballot has been cast. >> that's interesting. i don't know that the candidates want to do that, right? the risk of what can happen in the debates gets very frightening for them. i don't know if they wa
one day we blame romney, and we've seen a lot of blame for romney throughout the campaign. one day blaming the polling and liberal media. i think that's a stretch. when do we look at the ideology and the difficult sell that is for the american people. when you have a party where the conventional wisdom is that this is a party that is here for the rich to serve the rich and the corporations, that's a very difficult sell. i don't know that chris christie, regular guy, could sell that better. i...
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Oct 11, 2012
10/12
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now the battleground polls are out telling us whether mitt romney's comments ruffled any feathers among voters. according to our latest nbc poll obama holds a one point lead. ohio the gap is down to six. in virginia it's slipped for one to obama and up one for romney. the president is still ahead but nationally mitt romney has actually taken the lead. ten days ago obama head a four point lead in that average. today mitt romney leads by more than a point. but when you look at just the swing states, president obama is leading almost every one of them albeit by a reduced margin. these are numbers just from the last states. let's put them through the spin cycle. guys, all of this raises an interesting possibility that i have resisted and that political science tells us shouldn't be happening. political science says generally speaking if there's movement nationally, there will be similar movement in the swing states. if there's movement in swing states will be mirrored in other states. mitt romney has not pulled ahead in swing states. look at a state like ohio, virginia, iowa, new hampshire,
now the battleground polls are out telling us whether mitt romney's comments ruffled any feathers among voters. according to our latest nbc poll obama holds a one point lead. ohio the gap is down to six. in virginia it's slipped for one to obama and up one for romney. the president is still ahead but nationally mitt romney has actually taken the lead. ten days ago obama head a four point lead in that average. today mitt romney leads by more than a point. but when you look at just the swing...
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Aug 28, 2012
08/12
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i think something we all can agree on is that the romney campaign wants to win. and to do so the national journalist is saying he needs to get 61% of the white vote. right now in the latest nbc/wall street journal poll he's at zero percent with african-americans. the president has 94% and romney is getting zero. >> right. >> i'm not asking about morality here just asking about pure politics. doesn't it make sense, isn't it effective for the romney campaign to inject race into this campaign and use that as a divider to get that 61% of the white vote that they need? >> i'm going to be honest with you, no, it is not from a practical or political standpoint because something like that is always dangerous. it always blows back up on you ten-fold. being exposed, doing something like that just does not make good political sense in this day and age where you can get news and information and dissection of your actions from all angles. so either position where, it can be perceived that your actions are race-baiting or trying to generation a discussion on race unnecessarily
i think something we all can agree on is that the romney campaign wants to win. and to do so the national journalist is saying he needs to get 61% of the white vote. right now in the latest nbc/wall street journal poll he's at zero percent with african-americans. the president has 94% and romney is getting zero. >> right. >> i'm not asking about morality here just asking about pure politics. doesn't it make sense, isn't it effective for the romney campaign to inject race into this...
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Aug 16, 2012
08/12
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in fact, a new zogby poll conducted post ryan has romney cresting at 41% among 18 to 29-year-olds for the first time. so does the president still have the magic touch, or can the two least hip men in politics make a case for the youth vote? let's bring in our guest connor toohill, editor in chief of "next gen" journal. connor, we all know young people reliably vote liberal but the other is they reliably don't vote. 51% of eligible of 18 to 29-year-olds voted in 2008, up from 48% in 2004 and the low 40s in 2000 and 1996. turnout for young voters this year is expected to be much lower than it was in 2008. so how do we convince young folks to get out there and participate in this great experiment called democracy? >> well, i think that's a great point, and actually what's interesting about 2008, turnout was actually considered to be pretty decent and at that time we had a gallup poll that came out about this time before the election and 78% of registered young voters said they were definitely planning to vote in november. this time around it's only 58%. >> right. >> so i think we're seei
in fact, a new zogby poll conducted post ryan has romney cresting at 41% among 18 to 29-year-olds for the first time. so does the president still have the magic touch, or can the two least hip men in politics make a case for the youth vote? let's bring in our guest connor toohill, editor in chief of "next gen" journal. connor, we all know young people reliably vote liberal but the other is they reliably don't vote. 51% of eligible of 18 to 29-year-olds voted in 2008, up from 48% in...
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Aug 15, 2012
08/12
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between president obama and mitt romney when it comes to basically who people like. mitt romney's got an image problem. we've said obama doesn't. i wonder if there's not something with the romney campaign looking for any opportunity it can find to make president obama seem unlikable when they talk about how it's an ugly campaign. maybe it's trying to make people, i don't know if they have much to work with here, but trying to make people sour on obama in a more personal way. >> that is probably the calculation, but i think it's a little early. in fact, i don't think that was the moment to seize on. the gaffe was bad. it's an inexcusable thing to say. however, if you look back and i wrote about this today on the daily news website, if you look back to 2008, that was a nasty rhetorical campaign whether you're talking sarah palin, stuff that was said about president obama, stuff that was said about john mccain and his alleged affair. i mean, this got ugly. we have 3 days left. this is not yet scratched the surface. i'm sorry to say it, chains is really not the ugliest t
between president obama and mitt romney when it comes to basically who people like. mitt romney's got an image problem. we've said obama doesn't. i wonder if there's not something with the romney campaign looking for any opportunity it can find to make president obama seem unlikable when they talk about how it's an ugly campaign. maybe it's trying to make people, i don't know if they have much to work with here, but trying to make people sour on obama in a more personal way. >> that is...